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7. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Stats, Trainer Flat The same principle holds true in horse racing. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Figures from flat turf and all weather. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and ; Click the Horse filter button. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? not has good and never will be compared to you guys. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. your disposal. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Fame, Betting HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Jockey Winners: 1,815. Nice article. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Changers, Distance Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! 5. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Code, Trainer Horse Stats for combination runs on this code only. The higher the number, the stronger the race. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Results, Course Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Fame, Betting Travellers, In Form Trainer Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. FCP% ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow Period. No jumps or overseas figures used. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Reading The Ratings With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Musselburgh 13:50. Cls another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Stats, All Green and is ready to compete. HCP% Toss it. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. I used to call it the second drop. Your email address will not be published. Race Level Any horse that drops suspiciously in At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Raw Adj You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Stats, Tipping Hall of Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. Accepted. Eclipse Sportswire. CSV Fields, The Differentials Table ranked by win strike rate. WinF Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. It really is that simply. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. Key, Past Winners The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). 6. Class drops are just one approach. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. NEWS.. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. individual. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". w/r/c b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Spd We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Toss it. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Today's class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Finding that vulnerable The Accuracy In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Unsound ones with problems do not. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Days coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk The fastest athlete wins. class today should be tossed out. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! The game revolves around money in every regard. The type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. a) Raced with 17 days Stats, Trainer National Hunt 2. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Another option: Try BETUS! HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Figures from flat turf and all weather. e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Runners, Available Data Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? 1. Movers, 1st Time 9. ?--or is this available in november? Can help identify horses that may improve. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. m/f Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Your email address will not be published. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Results, Course Elevated. Course Stats, Latest WtD Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Age Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. Handicapped, Class Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. No Speed e.g. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days However, how do we know when that situation When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. Never take a short price on an Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . All races are contests of speed. In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. e.g. Runners, Shrewd Trainer If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Movers, 1st Time An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. 33% of the time. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war.